Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.006968 0.008152 0.009560 0.011385 0.013722 0.016670 0.020757
2025-04-06 0.005315 0.006686 0.008499 0.011151 0.015084 0.020976 0.031088
2025-04-13 0.004548 0.006008 0.008085 0.011409 0.016933 0.026507 0.046589
2025-04-20 0.004127 0.005675 0.008013 0.012058 0.019524 0.034459 0.073476
2025-04-27 0.003767 0.005346 0.007852 0.012475 0.021827 0.043227 0.113560
2025-05-04 0.003412 0.004959 0.007508 0.012458 0.023254 0.051037 0.165327
2025-05-11 0.003124 0.004634 0.007204 0.012428 0.024636 0.059848 0.244834
2025-05-18 0.002847 0.004291 0.006810 0.012116 0.025240 0.066988 0.344768
2025-05-25 0.002579 0.003930 0.006330 0.011524 0.024923 0.070950 0.447319
2025-06-01 0.002368 0.003649 0.005964 0.011105 0.024945 0.076446 0.611450
2025-06-08 0.002259 0.003534 0.005898 0.011345 0.026965 0.092780 1.150301
2025-06-15 0.002124 0.003360 0.005693 0.011219 0.027838 0.105158 2.008161
2025-06-22 0.001954 0.003119 0.005353 0.010772 0.027764 0.114376 3.572382
2025-06-29 0.001822 0.002940 0.005123 0.010569 0.028536 0.131431 9.492565
2025-07-06 0.001742 0.002851 0.005068 0.010809 0.031111 0.168995 117.231449
2025-07-13 0.001697 0.002824 0.005139 0.011412 0.035612 0.243583 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001640 0.002766 0.005133 0.011798 0.039569 0.340755 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001562 0.002659 0.005003 0.011782 0.041656 0.432252 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001490 0.002559 0.004877 0.011754 0.043747 0.553727 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001410 0.002436 0.004683 0.011466 0.044232 0.650831 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001323 0.002292 0.004424 0.010916 0.042871 0.682688 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001251 0.002175 0.004223 0.010527 0.042350 0.753649 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001216 0.002134 0.004201 0.010750 0.046029 1.123873 NaN